While not answering questions related to yesterday’s WSI update, a longtime D.C. political operative gives us a breakdown of where the race between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama REALLY stands in a number of critical battleground states, and ends with a plea for EVERYONE to get involved in helping make Obama a “One and Done” president…
WHI: Ok, not the question you asked me about, but something much more important. You wanted to know where the race is regarding the internal polling data. Here it is, all within the last week or so. Forget the media reports, this is where the race really stands. The governor has work to do, but it’s a lot closer than what people are being told:
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New Hampshire: +2 Romney
Virginia: EVEN (This is not being reflected in media polling. Internals say otherwise. A very close race. I give slight edge to the governor.)
North Carolina: +4 Romney (Romney will win NC and Obama campaign knows it. Their latest internal reportedly showed +5 advantage for the governor)
Florida: +1 Romney (Close, but Jewish vote over last two internals now show trending against Obama. Could prove difference.)
Ohio: +1 Obama (My gut says this is EVEN, but latest internal showing slight advantage to Obama. See what #s do after ad blitz and first debate performance.)
Wisconsin: +3 Obama (Obama PACs dumping more $$$ into Wisconsin than they thought they would have to. Romney has never led, but governor’s team believes a 5% undecided segment could break overwhelmingly in his favor making this state far more competitive on Election Night than national polling now showing. I agree 100%. Wisconsin absolutely in play for us.)
Iowa: Romney +2 (Media polling results way off. Obama campaign internals telling them far different. Romney internals confirm what Obama knows. Governor holding to slim margin but again, looking to see undecideds break for Romney on Election Day)
Colorado: EVEN (This one too close to call. Internal #s hardly budged over the last six weeks. First debate will likely give momentum to one candidate or the other but right now, I give any EVEN state to Romney. Undecideds break against incumbent by 2 to 1.)
Nevada: Obama +2 (Again, Obama lead not nearly as strong as national media indicating and there is to be a significant advertising push here in the next couple of weeks by Romney campaign. I know personally of the SEIU influence here though. Difficult to overcome.)
Oregon: Obama +3 (Nobody talking about Oregon. It is on the table competitive. Large undecided segment showing up similar to Wisconsin. Could be a late left coast grab for the governor on Election Night. Hoping we won’t need it, but it is in play so worth mentioning.)
PENNSYLVANIA: Obama +4 (Saved this for last. I am convinced Romney can pull this one out and here’s why. Getting very interesting #s in counties like Allegheny, Chester, Berks, Luzerne, and most importantly, Philadelphia. Governor won’t take Philly, not even close. What the internals are showing though is support near the 30% mark and that would be almost double what McCain did in 2008 and that, combined with those other leaner counties, puts a hell of a lot of votes into the Romney column. Would be a huge upset, but it is competitive and it’s forcing Obama to spend money in a state he should not have to and in a right race, that can be a real tactical advantage. A win here will take a lot of work and a lot of money in the last few weeks but if successful, totally worth the effort.)
I will put Virginia in the got to win side for the governor. If we get Virginia, and steal Pennsylvania, Election Night is over and Obama is one and done. If we take Virginia, lose Pennsylvania, but also win Florida, then we just need Wisconsin and I think we pull out the win.
First debate coming up HUGE. Cannot emphasize enough on that. Have to go all the way back to 1980 to find similar scenario.
If the governor doesn’t show up, we are all f-cked.
No pressure, right?
As for everybody else who gives a sh-t, the country needs all of them. Every last one of them to push, pull, and drag Mitt Romney into the White House and Obama out of the White House. Right now is when the nitty meets the gritty in a campaign and if the governor is going to win, he needs a whole lot of help from a whole lot of people all across the country to get it done. The internals are showing the race is very competetive. If we are going to turn competetive into victory we need all of you out there to help out in whatever way you can. For the love of God if you aren’t doing something to help make Obama one and done now is the time you have to start. If you love America this is the real deal.
Right here. Right now.
-WHI
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WALL STREET INSIDER: Beware The First Presidential Debate – Obama Will Cheat
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UPDATE: WITHIN HOURS OF RECEIVING THIS LATEST MESSAGE FROM WHI, A MEMBER OF THE ROMNEY CAMPAIGN MIRRORS EXACTLY WHAT INSIDER SHARED WITH US EARLIER:
Adviser says internal polling says the race is much tighter than the public polls suggests. “We are, by any stretch, within the margin of error in Ohio,” says Beeson.
Remember those of us who are getting this information online need to let the voters know it’s not over because the propagandists in the media and the Obama campaign are trying to knock Mitt out. It’s on the cusp and so find a Tea Party office or RNC office and work on getting Romney over the line.
We need to be talking to the undecideds.
Good news, but there is still a lot to be done.
Does seem as though the “mystery internal poll” state WHI talked about before was VA.
Obama’s paid internet bullies are back. Have seen them in various places recently, trying to control and shape the narrative. I hope Romney’s campaign understands how influential that group can be. They were in 2008. If you are going against astroturfers, it is important to have some on your side as well.
43 days to save America.
Get out, canvas, phone bank, stay positive and keep moving. Make sure you keep other people positive as well. And as AquaStar said, talk to undecideds. Those people are the most likely to be affected by the “Inevitable Obama” nonsense. That is why the media is putting it out.
On a good note, there is now developing a serious backlash and awareness of how much the media is creating fake polls. What this means is that instead of being demoralized as the media wants, Republicans are becoming increasingly confident and determined. It is backfiring on them, in other words. I can see various propagandists on the left who know this, and are trying to fight the “fake poll” counter-theme which has developed to rebuke the fake “Inevitable Obama” meme.
Stoke the fires. Tell people the polls are fixed and the left is scared. They are. If we show up and stay energized, we win. America wins. Your children and grandchildren win and the would-be dictator loses.
Let’s roll!
I have a suspicion – probably wrong (after all, I figured that Jarrett would be shifted out as the campaign faltered)
Here goes: the media will slowly pull its support from Obama. Why? Because even his friends (“friends?”) know that he’s an ill-tempered, angry, paranoid delusional – and they fear what he will do if he’s rejected. Obviously, this is giving the media more credit than they’re due, but they want to keep Barry from taking the whole shebang down with him, Hitler-style.
They know that he can’t take criticism, that he always blames others, that he’s capable of the worst instincts – which is probably why Bill Clinton went back to being an Obama supporter. Not to mention that he has a lot of hired henchmen – Nation of Islam, Muslim Brotherhood, SEIU, Chitcago thugs and so forth.
No one but the enemies of the Constutiton want to see us go down in flames. What to do? Make the defeat slow, sure and smooth – an incremental defeat of a paranoid psychotic with millions of weapons in his arsenal that can be turned against the public – and the press.
Agreed. I’ve thought this for awhile. They are scared to let O know how bad things are, so they are faking it, for now.
Has Patrick Fitzgerald changed his plans after being exposed as the source of the Blago leaks ? Michael Sneed, the same tool Blago used to float stories.
Fitzgerald headed to prestigious law firm?
http://www.suntimes.com/news/sneed/15360458-452/fitzgerald-headed-to-prestigious-law-firm.html
Reminder, Fatrick Fitzgerald was inline to takeover the director spot at FBI from Robert Mueller and Fitzgerald scoffed at the Idea of going to a law firm when his retirement fromm the DoJ was announced. Why the change ?
http://illinoispaytoplay.com/
A friend that is unable to post to this site though many of you might find this article interesting:
Campaign Trail Report Now Uses UnskewedPolls.com for Ratings
http://campaigntrailreport.com/2012/09/25/campaign-trail-report-now-uses-unskewedpolls-com-for-ratings
Thank You! I’m so glad for this information, but what about Michigan (and New Mexico)? Those were the two states that were highlighted as swing, but we didn’t get any info. I’m guessing, not so swing anymore or not enough data??? Maybe??? A lot of us in MI want Mitt to win here!
Sometimes, even the best of us, find ourselves wondering if the propaganda is more than propaganda because there are too many people who still buy it.
How much do we want to bet that by the end of the campaign season, the major networks are gonna come out of the closet and hold a telethon for Obama (otherwise known as ‘St. Obama’ or ‘The One’)? “Call 1-800-A**-H*** to pledge your support now. We’ve got your media dupes and fools ready to take your call (and your money) live! On the air!”
Sorry, I really don’t mean to be offensive (if I offended anyone), but sometimes this whole situation just blows my mind because the American people really can’t be stupid enough to think that Obama should be re-elected.
Interestingly, most of my Liberal friends have been really kinda quiet about supporting Obama lately.
Which is either just that my liberal political friends have decided not to post on Facebook or they are really actually kind of nervous about the election. I don’t know what kind of feedback the rest of you have been getting in your circles, but it’s just interesting to me how so few people are really talking up their support for Obama.
All of my Republican friends can’t shut up about Mitt, Ann and Paul Ryan. Seriously, some days, I just want to say give it a rest because they just go on and on…..
Even my Libertarian friends post their pro-Gary Johnson crap more than my Liberal friends post Obama crap.
Anyway, are other people noticing the same reluctance to defend Obama or post positive things about the guy?
Picture that map if Zero lost ILLINOIS – stay tuned, apparently, nothing’s impossible:
” . . . because I happen to be working on another story about the Think Squad and how they’re helping me pull together evidence that Barack Obama could actually lose Illinois in November because of his failure to payout street money to the black community in Chicago. It’s a big story. The Think Squad is helping me crack it. I should have it up tomorrow. . . ”
Read more http://hillbuzz.org/
@lovelypeace: I do see that support for Obama resides in a quieter place. His online supporters have shifted into “bash-Romney” mode though. Especially those with their own social agendas like abortion rights & gay marriage. Snarky cartoons/pix/notes depicting Romney as the one who will change/curtail their rights in those areas abound. Romney needs to address these voters. My way of defanging their arguments is to point to the fact that we had a Christian, very pro-life president for 8 years who didn’t try to revisit Roe v Wade. If anyone can improve on that, please do. I could use all the help I can get as I have many liberal friends & family members & live in a very blue state.
Conversely, In person, the pro-Obama 2008 crowd invariably hang their head in shame… I call that good times!
Well, the only things I know are common sense, logical things and I’m afraid most liberals and pro-Obama ppl at this stage do not possess those qualities and/or do not want to. They are very closed and shallow and have foolishly decided they want to stay with their mindset…..delusional. But appreciate your trying….also – I really like your name.
TruthandJustice, I agree as to the delusional but we can’t give up ontrying to break thru to them. One time at a family party i got so frustrated (with a kool-aid chugger filled with bluster short on facts) that i handed him a toothpick & said “In case of emergency, pierce that lefty bubble you live in & take a big breath of freedom!” Another reason not to give up is that sometimes our “argument” spills over onto the dull & ignorant with surprising results. Re names: yours ain’t too shabby either, lol. Keep the faith.
OT but interesting re the movie they’re trying to push as the reason for the attacks by that ex-Muslim Palestinian terrorist,who converted to Christianity, Walid Shoebat whom I’ve mentioned on here before. Turns out he thinks his FIRST COUSIN (still a terrorist) was involved: (excerpts)
“There is more to the story of Nakoula Basseley Nakoula than what we are told by the media. Court documents reveal that Nakoula Basseley Nakoula, producer of the movie Innocence of Muslims, partnered in a scheme with Eiad Salameh, my first cousin, a Palestinian Muslim from Beit Sahour in the Palestinian district of Bethlehem.
To prove my claim, I revealed Eiad Salameh long before this whole fiasco erupted—in 2008 and the first real reportage of Eiad and Nakoula was revealed on September 14th, 2012.
Eiad is from Beit Sahour, Bethlehem. He is a dubious individual who was well known in the Arab community as the main contact for obtaining authentic, legitimate identifications from passports to credit cards, under many nationalities. He then places these identifications into the hands of dubious characters whose names are not the names written on the passports.
Eiad is a Muslim terror supporter and is not an Egyptian Copt. Both my cousin Eiad and whoever this man is who pretends to be Nakoula, had multiple, fraudulent identifications and the two connected for a decade in multiple scheming operations—the type that usually links to terrorism.
Eiad, like Nakoula, portrayed and identified himself as an Israeli Jew, a thing Eiad did for years. He even fraudulently holds an authentic Israeli passport.
No one knows for certain that Nakoula is even who he claims to be, but we are 100% certain that both my cousin Eiad and Nakoula had multiple fraudulent identifications and what has never been disclosed until now is that the two were linked for at least a decade.
First of all, clan Nakoula also exists in Eiad’s village Beit Sahour Bethlehem. It is still the little town of Bethlehem, just as it was in Biblical times.
The feds are also silent and have kept much of this issue away from public view.
If the feds were indeed interested in catching Eiad, he was in fact doing his shenanigans for three decades without a single arrest and despite several arrest warrants issued.
I received my last email from my contact on July 15th, 2011, which stated: “He is awaiting deportation to Palestine, unless the US hurry up and indict him…” The feds never responded to the Canadian’s last appeal and within a few days, Eiad was put on a plane, courtesy of the Canadian taxpayers.
Where did he go?
Palestine.
The Palestinian terror connection to this film increases once we learned that Nakoula used Eiad’s last name “Erwin Salameh” portraying himself as his brother.
So who is this man behind the film Innocence of Muslims?
On one hand, we have a Meth-dealer-Egyptian-Coptic-anti-Muslim-activist-fundamentalist-Christian. Then on the other hand, we have a Muslim-fundamentalist-Palestinian-scam-artist-terrorist.
The results of this entire fiasco will not be the apprehension of terrorists, but the continual chipping away at the First-Amendment, since Americans by and large are still practicing the art of self-blame while they ignore the real culprits who enter our country with the intent of doing it much harm.”
http://www.shoebat.com/2012/09/25/innocence-of-muslims-film-was-made-by-terrorists/
I believe that this shoddy agit-prop film was done with the approval and backing of the regime. Of course it was released in June. When it didn’t stir anything up. they pushed it out in front as an excuse for a tragic event. Any tragic event involving Muslims would have been OK. That’s why Hussein went to bed, unconcerned about the death of the ambassador and the other Americans in Libya.
Just not buying that it’s this close. Not at all.
It’s either a Romney landslide or masive, unheard of voter fraud. No middle ground.
I know WHI is urging everyone to stay focused and fervent but…
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/
Amid a flurry of recent polls showing Mitt Romney badly trailing in key swing states — especially in Ohio — a campaign adviser told reporters Tuesday that the race there is much closer than public polling suggests.
Asked about a new Washington Post poll showing Romney down eight points in Ohio, political director Rich Beeson said their internal polls are telling a different story.
“The public polls are what the public polls are,” Beeson said. “I kind of hope the Obama campaign is basing their campaign decisions on the public polls… I have great faith in our data.”
http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/romney-campaign-gets-in-on-polling-trash-talk
Explains this…
MacIver: Military Voters in Wisconsin Told to Submit Ballots a Week After Deadline
by MacIver News Service25 Sep 2012, 1:04 PM PDT202post a comment
The Federal Voting Assistance Program website published an incorrect deadline for the return of returning military ballots in Wisconsin. Had this error not been corrected, thousands of Wisconsin servicemen and women could have been disenfranchised in this key swing state this November.
The FVAB website incorrectly stated ballots must be returned by November 16. The actual deadline is 4 p.m. November 9. Any military ballots received in that intervening week would not have been counted by local and state election officials.
MacIver News Service contacted the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board about the error on Tuesday and requested comment.
“All Wisconsin absentee ballots are due by 4 p.m. the Friday after the election. The FVAP site was incorrect,” said Reid Magney, GAB spokesman in an emailed response to the inquiry.
Ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, which in 2012 is Tuesday, November 6th.
According to their website, The FVAP provides U.S. citizens worldwide a broad range of non-partisan information and assistance to facilitate their participation in the democratic process – regardless of where they work or live. The FVAP also administers the Federal responsibilities of the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA), which designates armed forces recruiting offices nationwide as voter registration agencies allowing eligible U.S. citizens to apply for voter registration, or apply to change voter registration data
Wait until they bring on Joseph Kony
Since Jimmy Carter thinks our elections are hopelessly flawed and corrupt, which party must be most responsible for that corruption?
Hint: ain’t the Republicans.
He may actually be right, if he’s point to the hundreds of thousands of illegal aliens and dead voters, as well as the disenfranchised Military voters.
The ones who will kill the Romney win will be the Ron Paul supporters being stubborn. They need to realize that it’s no longer about the Constitution – that’s been shredded. It’s about our VERY SURVIVAL and we must get OBAMA OUT. WHI, WSI please send someone to Ron Paul so his voters won’t cut off the Nation’s nose to spite it’s face.